RAW SPORTS LAB

NFL · 2026-10-18

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars ML

Mixed evidence

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PREDICTION SCREEN

RAW likes Jacksonville Jaguars to win.

WHY RAW LIKES IT

  • Jacksonville's run defense had a good matchup against Houston's struggling rushing offense.
  • Jacksonville had the stronger record, scoring margin, and keeping opponents from scoring through five games.
  • Houston was without Tank Dell and David Montgomery.
  • Jacksonville had second-straight-week London logistical continuity.

BIGGEST CONCERN

Jacksonville replaced injured LT Anton Harrison with Walker Little against Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG

  • Houston could generate pressure with four rushers, directly threatening Lawrence.
  • Jacksonville was without CB Montaric Brown while Houston's passing offense was stronger than its rushing offense.
  • Jacksonville's protection and penalty issues increased the relevance of Houston's pass rush.

BOTTOM LINE

Jacksonville's run defense had a good matchup against Houston's struggling rushing offense. The concern: Jacksonville replaced injured LT Anton Harrison with Walker Little against Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter.

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Result

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