Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

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PREDICTION SCREEN

RAW likes Buffalo Sabres +1.5 puck line.

WHY RAW LIKES IT

• Buffalo's verified early at even strength expected-goal and possession edge.
• Toronto's poor at even strength results/process relative to Buffalo.
• Toronto was without Chris Tanev, reducing blue-line defensive depth.

BIGGEST CONCERN

Buffalo was without Rasmus Dahlin and had to redistribute major defensive minutes.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG

• Toronto's special-teams play was strongly favorable against Buffalo's early penalty-kill struggles.
• Toronto had the steadier current goalie play and more good offense, led by a hot Matthews line.

BOTTOM LINE

Buffalo's verified early at even strength expected-goal and possession edge. The concern: Buffalo was without Rasmus Dahlin and had to redistribute major defensive minutes.

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Result

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