RAW SPORTS LAB

NHL · 2026-10-17

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders +1.5 puck line

Research-confirmed

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PREDICTION SCREEN

RAW likes New York Islanders +1.5 puck line.

WHY RAW LIKES IT

  • Sorokin was expected to start while Bobrovsky entered with a weaker five-game this season line.
  • New York entered with the NHL's second-best goals-against rate at 2.29 per game.
  • Toronto had allowed at least three goals in seven of eight games and was allowing heavy shot volume.
  • Toronto was without Tavares and Tanev, weakening center and defensive depth.

BIGGEST CONCERN

Toronto's Matthews–Nylander-led attack was producing at a high level, with a special-teams advantage.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG

  • New York was missing Barzal and Romanov and had not earned a road win through three road decisions.
  • Current even-strength expected-goals sources disagreed on the size of New York's edge.

BOTTOM LINE

Sorokin was expected to start while Bobrovsky entered with a weaker five-game this season line. The concern: Toronto's Matthews–Nylander-led attack was producing at a high level, with a special-teams advantage.

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Result

PENDING

Settlement adds or corrects the result; original saved public research is retained.

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