RAW SPORTS LAB

NHL · 2026-10-12

Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

Ottawa Senators +1.5 puck line

Qualified lean

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PREDICTION SCREEN

RAW likes Ottawa Senators +1.5 puck line.

WHY RAW LIKES IT

  • Confirmed Linus Ullmark start.
  • Ottawa's structured checking identity supports a close-game script.
  • Expected Ullmark-versus-Daws goaltending matchup.

BIGGEST CONCERN

New Jersey entered with an NHL-leading 37.8 shots per game.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG

  • New Jersey's skilled top two lines and recently productive power play.
  • Ottawa was without Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub.

BOTTOM LINE

Confirmed Linus Ullmark start. The concern: New Jersey entered with an NHL-leading 37.8 shots per game.

VIEW FULL RESEARCH

Independent matchup research verdict for Ottawa Senators +1.5 puck line: MIXED / LEAN REMAINS. Ottawa +1.5 had affirmative support from Ullmark’s confirmed start and a checking structure suited to keeping the score close. New Jersey’s high-volume attack and power play had a concrete opportunity to exploit Ottawa’s depleted defense.

All saved reasons

  • Confirmed Linus Ullmark start
  • Ottawa’s structured checking identity supports a close-game script
  • Expected Ullmark-versus-Daws goaltending matchup

All saved concerns

  • New Jersey entered with an NHL-leading 37.8 shots per game
  • New Jersey’s skilled top six and recently productive power play
  • Ottawa was without Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub

NO — the Devils’ offensive and personnel advantages are meaningful, but they do not invalidate Ottawa’s independent puck-line support from confirmed Ullmark and Ottawa’s structured style.

Result

PENDING

Settlement adds or corrects the result; original saved public research is retained.

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