RAW SPORTS LAB

NHL · 2026-10-02

Stl @ dal

St. Louis Blues +1.5 puck line

Qualified lean

Independent matchup research verdict for St. Louis Blues +1.5 puck line: MIXED / LEAN REMAINS. Meaningful affirmative support for St. Louis +1.5 came from projected goaltending and a competitive 5v5 baseline. Material opposing evidence—Dallas’ 5v5 advantage and St.

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Prediction screen

The model screen advanced St. Louis Blues +1.5 puck line after comparing two predictive-model outcomes. A precise level of model agreement was not recorded for the public summary.

Research screen

MIXED / LEAN REMAINS

Independent matchup research verdict for St. Louis Blues +1.5 puck line: MIXED / LEAN REMAINS. Meaningful affirmative support for St. Louis +1.5 came from projected goaltending and a competitive 5v5 baseline. Material opposing evidence—Dallas’ 5v5 advantage and St.

Why it made the cut

  • Hofer’s established season-scale performance
  • Relatively narrow 5v5 process gap
  • Duchene unavailable for Dallas

Main risks

  • Dallas’ superior 5v5 profile
  • Its stronger established scoring core
  • St. Louis’ two injured defensemen
  • The Blues’ shuffled defense with a rookie making his NHL debut

No separate reviewed main concern recorded.

Result

WIN

Settlement adds or corrects the result; original saved public research is retained.

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