RAW SPORTS LAB

NHL · 2026-10-20

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 puck line

Mixed evidence

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PREDICTION SCREEN

RAW likes Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 puck line.

WHY RAW LIKES IT

  • Toronto's substantial special-teams edge.
  • Columbus had scored 2.57 goals per game and allowed 3.29 through seven games.
  • Columbus was without Ivan Provorov and Dante Fabbro on defense while Toronto retained Matthews–Nylander top-end offense.

BIGGEST CONCERN

Toronto was on the second night of a back-to-back.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG

  • Available at even strength expected-goal data did not establish a Toronto possession or chance-quality advantage.
  • Toronto was missing John Tavares and Chris Tanev.

BOTTOM LINE

Toronto's substantial special-teams edge. The concern: Toronto was on the second night of a back-to-back.

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Result

PENDING

Settlement adds or corrects the result; original saved public research is retained.

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